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Cake day: July 22nd, 2024

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  • Keep in mind, that the past decade centrist and right wing media did everything to give the AfD maximum attention and for the past 3 years every party from left of center to right bent over backwards to push themselves to the right and far right. the Greens and Social Democrats passed a law to make deportations easier just a week after investigative journalists uncovered a meeting by the AfD, other Fascists and the CDU to discuss plans for large scale deportations. sitting chancellor Scholz had declared “We need to deport in grand style” a few months earlier.

    Now for the AfD ban innitiation a relevant faction of the Green party want to block it on the basis of “wanting more time, a parliamentary inquiry and not to risk giving the AfD a carte blanche if the ban case fails.” I think it is more because they are worried that some of their right and far right policies could come under scrutiny too.

    The reality is that large parts of German politics have been infiltrated by and wanted to move to the right very hard. They just waited for a pretext to do so, where they don’t end up being the far right all of a sudden.

    I’m just mentioning the Green party as an example, because they used to be a progressive party, left of the social democrats and right of the Left party, and i am dissapointed the most in them. But the CDU is using the same election slogans as the AfD currently and the Bavarian abomination CSU now has posters that look the same to posters of the NPD, which is the skinheads with baseball bats style Nazi-party.


    https://mastodon.social/@peterjelinek/113770253157050313

    https://feddit.org/post/6986463/4242805



  • This has been part of a legal discussion over the past twentyish years, as the Internet allows for people to do hate speech that is prosecutable under German law from outside Germany, but targeted towards a German audience.

    The English Wikipedia entry does not include the section about this issue, however the German one does. Maybe you could pass it through a translator of your choice. https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volksverhetzung#Anwendung_auf_Auslandstaten_(Strafanwendungsrecht)

    Basically the Bundesgerichtshof (federal court) which is the highest instance below the constitutional court used to rule it as sufficient, when the hate speech can be available in Germany. In 2016 they changed this opinion, saying that the possible availability in Germany does not constitute a success of the act and hence it cannot be considered part of the suitability of hate speech committed in another country. Because of that surrounding laws were amended in 2020 to specify that hate speech committed abroad can be prosecuted in Germany, if it was received by a wider audience (i think this is evident in the case of Musks Hitler salute) and the perpetrator is either a German citizen or has significant connections to Germany.

    In regards to jurisdiction you cannot apply the concepts that work inside a federal nation state to how things work between nation states.

    Poland could pass a law to prosecute abortions done abroad under their own jurisdiction, if such a law would be in accordance with other EU laws. If we take the UK instead as an example, they could absolutely do that. Now whether other countries would extradite someone accused under such a law to the UK is another question.




  • As it stands in terms of manifested actual political effects, not virtue signaling and token efforts, Trump managed to push for the ceasefire Biden was unwilling to apply pressure for.

    We will see, how the politics of Trump look, when it comes to material on the ground effects, but Biden proudly stood by and gave more bombs while watching daily how women and children are murdered with them and millions of people have their everything destroyed.

    So so far Trump did much more for Palestinian lifes than Biden. That is not a big achievement of Trump. It just shows that Biden indeed is genocide Joe, who chose every day to continue this, despite all it taking to end it being a phone call.

    Also as Biden delivered weapons while Israel was murdering US aid workers he directly violated US laws.


  • Harris was put in place by the Democratic party and advertised herself to be precisely the continuation of Biden. Aside from some token gestures she did nothing different in regards to Palestine.

    And she made a point of denying Democrats who wanted an end of the genocide to speak at the DNC convention, even though they wanted to advocate people to vote for her, despite the previous actions of the administration she was Vice President in.

    She really hammered home the point that she will continue Bidens murderous Zionism legacy with that one.



  • Reagan threatened Israel with cutting off all aid, unless they play ball. And they did.

    Without the US supporting Israel its other allies would also abandon it quickly.

    So all the US has to do to make Israel do what the US says is withhold support until Israel obeys.

    What Biden did instead was throwing the US to the feet of Israel, at best rambling and making token gestures. So the US halted 2.000 pound bombs? That surely didnt stop Israel from annihilating people in Gaza with the other bombs the US kept delivering.


  • pretty much anyone outside the mainland US.

    But also i find stopping a genocide does matter more than ending much smaller discriminations. Ending those smaller ones is important too, but if someone deems ending their smaller discrimination as more important than stopping a genocide, it seems to come from a place of egoism and supremacism, rather than an ethical conviction for the value of human life and mutual respect.


  • As it stands Israel had to accept a ceasefire process for Gaza, which is pracitcally identical to what was proposed almost a year ago, but Biden didnt apply any pressure. It increased the rifts inside Israels society and parts of the current government coalition left.

    That is a huge defeat for the Israeli government and they wouldnt have accepted it, if there wasnt tangible pressure behing it, e.g. the US cutting off the Arms and Money. Also Biden made a point of quickly passing another few billions to Israel iirc. in November or December, so he also must have feared them to run dry under Trump.

    Most political analysts say that Trump believes in zero sum deals. Israel is a strategic, financial and diplomatic liability to the US. If it is about having a military base in the region Trump could easily strike a deal with another country around.

    Also looking at what typical MAGA heads like Tucker Carlson say, the sentiment towards Israel among the Republicans has changed. More people ask the question, why they should pay up for Israels bullshit. When “The backing of the most powerful military” in practice becomes Videos of American kids being killed, so Israelis can enjoy watching from the beach-side café how the US is expanding their empire, the mood will turn sour quickly.


  • Difference for Palestinians, or for that matter pretty much anyone outside the mainland US.

    Cuba, Chile, Iran, Iraq, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, Afghanistan, Yemen and many more suffered from the combined murderous and greedy empire politics of both the Democratic and Republican party.

    Millions of people have been brutally murdered and starved by both parties just throughout the recent history of the US since WW2. The US oligarchy might prefer the Democrats or the Republicans for some time, but the oligarchy continued its murderous and destructive machinations.


  • We thought Assad was to stay in Syria and most countries were looking to reestablish/normalize ties. A month later he was gone.

    It always feels impossible until the regime falls. But all power structures are fundamentally based on no relevant number of people challenging them. And the US always needs to feel it is worth to support Israel. Once that changes and the US drops Israel, it will fall apart in weeks, if it didn’t fall apart until then from its internal rot.


  • So now that the cat is out of the box, other countries might decide to finally oppose the US and its conduct. Also now the people who claim to be progressive might realize that they have to oppose it as it is principally wrong and it cannot be seperated from the other issues, the same way the oligarchy is intrinsic to both sides of the US political theatre. Otherwise the outcome is the same for the Palestinians and the working class Americans.


  • Biden was a hardcore Zionist. He publicly proclaimed himself as such. He made a speech in congress, that if there was no Israel the US would need to create one, in order to further their interests. Being a violent empire that wants to ethnically cleanse and eradicate the Palestinians was always a part of Democratic policies. Any action against Israel was token at best and only enacted after significant public outcry about yet another wave of brutal Israeli crimes.

    The only difference between the parties was in how fast and open it should happen. The sanctions imposed on settler groups were meaningless and laughable as the US gave guns to the Israeli government, which then handed them right to the sanctioned settler groups. They were laughable as often the settler groups are made up in part of active duty IDF soldiers and often the IDF had to report to these settler groups.

    All these things are known, in particular to the US.

    The reality is that the majority and leaders of the Democratic party want the annihilation of the Palestinians just as much as their counterparts in the Republicans. They just dont want their children to ask them, why they saw little children burned alive on social media and why mommy and daddy support this.



  • Ironically the “Free Democrats” which are like a milktoast version of Musk style Neoliberalism/light Fascism, with recent endorsements of Musk by their party leadership, have gotten a good result in the previous election primarily because of their social media campaigns. Of course having the Axel-Springer Media heavily favor them also played a role. It is the publisher that recently had Musk endorse the fascist AfD party in an article.

    But if you think this “Free Democrats” only recently got in bed with fascism, don’t worry. They were also the party with the most ex-NSDAP members after WW2 and they advocated for “looking past” the Nazi history in the 50s already.


  • These arent nested. Any of these can happen independently and any one of them happening makes some others more likely to happen too.

    Each of them adds to shifting the balance of power and noone knows where the breaking point is.

    Of course there is also a few IFs going the other way around, or were we just know it will have an impact but not which way

    If the Russian people get fed up with the economy…

    If Putin dies…

    If Trump dies…

    If Xi dies…

    If there is an escalation in South East Asia…

    If there is a further escalation in West Asia…

    If there is a major climate event in Russia/Eastern Europe/Western Europe/North America…



  • The self impression of the imperial empires at the time. The kind of thinking that justified genocides, slavery and robbery with “but we bring them culture”

    In terms of ethics and culture i would say most places in the world to have been far better developed than European imperialists.